Here's how the "bubble" impacts playoff odds... ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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12/22/2025
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Home-court advantage impact on NBA Playoffs odds and the teams poised to lose the most without it

In basketball, home-court advantage is one of these key elements, but this year's NBA Playoffs poses a rare occurrence where teams are competing inside a bubble that removes the advantages of playing at home such as fans, familiar environments and officiating tendencies.


And while this scenario puts every team on an even playing "field," the loss of home-court advantage will be greater for some teams, which could ultimately impact the outcomes of games and series. 


Odds suggest the league average for home-court advantage is around 2 points, but there are two teams that hold greater values simply because of topography. 


The Nuggets and Jazz play at high altitudes, which affords them an added advantage against opponents not accustomed to conditioning in thinner air. Over the last three (full) regular seasons, Denver and Utah have combined to go 173-73 on their home floors.


Playoff teams that lose the most without home-court advantage

  1. Nuggets
  2. Jazz


Playoff teams that lose the least without home-court advantage

  1. Lakers
  2. Thunder
  3. Bucks


(Home-court advantage values are indicated below for each First Round matchup with two comparing sets of odds: Current odds inside the bubble and projected odds if the series were played at the home team venue.)


It may be surprising to see the Lakers and Bucks, two of the Finals favorites this year, with the least adjustment to their odds from bubble to home. But traditionally, small-market teams like Milwaukee and Oklahoma City don't carry as much home-court advantage weight as teams in larger cities. 


In the Lakers' case, the contingency that fills STAPLES Arena isn't one that opponents fear. Lakers home games are a spectacle, a show, a can't-miss experience, but they don't create an environment that enhances every element of home-court advantage (you'll notice that the Clippers have a higher home-court value than their L.A. counterpart due to the fan base). 


If you are able to use any of this information, please consider crediting the source, SportsBetting.com, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.


If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to email us. Thanks for reading, stay healthy and have a great Saturday.


Regards,

Cool Media PR


WEST


(8) Portland Trail Blazers vs. (1) Los Angeles Lakers


Game 1 (Bubble)

Trail Blazers +7

Lakers -7


Game 1 (Los Angeles)

Trail Blazers +8

Lakers -8


Series (Bubble)

Trail Blazers +440 

Lakers -550


Series (Los Angeles)

Trail Blazers +450 

Lakers -570


(7) Dallas Mavericks vs. (2) Los Angeles Clippers


Game 1 (Bubble)

Mavericks +6

Clippers -6


Game 1 (Los Angeles)

Mavericks +7.5

Clippers -7.5


Series (Bubble)

Mavericks +400

Clippers -500 


Series (Los Angeles)

Mavericks +420

Clippers -530 


(6) Utah Jazz vs. (3) Denver Nuggets


Game 1 (Bubble)

Jazz +3

Nuggets -3


Game 1 (Denver)

Jazz +5.5

Nuggets -5.5


Series (Bubble)

Jazz +160

Nuggets -200 


Series (Denver)

Jazz +230

Nuggets -270 


(5) Houston Rockets vs. (4) Oklahoma City Thunder


Game 1 (Bubble)

Rockets -1

Thunder +1


Game 1 (Oklahoma City)

Rockets PK

Thunder PK


Series (Bubble)

Rockets -200

Thunder +175


Series (Bubble)

Rockets -175

Thunder +150


EAST


(8) Orlando Magic vs. (1) Milwaukee Bucks


Game 1 (Bubble)

Magic +11

Bucks -11


Game 1 (Milwaukee)

Magic +11.5

Bucks -11.5


Series (Bubble)

Magic +2200

Bucks -10000


Series (Milwaukee)

Magic +2200

Bucks -10000


(7) Brooklyn Nets vs. (2) Toronto Raptors


Game 1 (Bubble)

Nets +10.5

Raptors -10.5


Game 1 (Toronto)

Nets +11

Raptors -11


Series (Bubble)

Nets +1000

Raptors -2500


Series (Toronto)

Nets +1000

Raptors -2500


(6) Philadelphia 76ers vs. (3) Boston Celtics


Game 1 (Bubble)

76ers +6.5

Celtics -6.5


Game 1 (Boston)

76ers +8

Celtics -8


Series (Bubble)

76ers +360

Celtics -450


Series (Boston)

76ers +385

Celtics -480


(5) Indiana Pacers vs. (4) Miami Heat


Game 1 (Bubble)

Pacers +4.5

Heat -4.5


Game 1 (Miami)

Pacers +6.5

Heat -6.5


Series Odds (Bubble)

Pacers +300

Heat -350


Series Odds (Miami)

Pacers +340

Heat -400

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