How key NFL injuries impact weekly lines and Super Bowl odds

The injury bug took a bite out of the NFL last week, and the setbacks have produced a trickle-down effect on the odds.

It's interesting to see how some of the key players who were injured during Week 2 will not only impact a team's Super Bowl chances, but also the week-to-week game odds.

In general, quarterbacks are the only players who can move a betting line. However, Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley, given their presence in both the rushing and passing games, have become players impact players in terms of the odds.

Below is a breakdown of what every STARTING QUARTERBACK from Week 1 is worth to a spread.

Odds and information are provided by SportsBetting.com (www.sportsbetting.com, @WeSportsBetting), which is a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.

Tier 1 (7-8 points): Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson

Tier 2 (6-7 points): Deshaun Watson, Matt Ryan

Tier 3 (5-6 points): Ben Roethlisberger, Dak Prescott, Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson

Tier 4 (4-5 points): Carson Wentz, Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford, Ryan Tannehill, Tom Brady

Tier 5 (3-4 points): Cam Newton, Derek Carr, Jared Goff, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Philip Rivers

Tier 6 (0-2 points): Baker Mayfield, Daniel Jones, Drew Lock, Dwayne Haskins, Gardner Minshew, Jimmy Garoppolo, Mitchell Trubisky, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Sam Darnold, Teddy Bridgewater, Tyrod Taylor

(Note: Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley would have a Tier 6 classification.)

Assigned values can vary weekly, and they take into account a number of factors such as backup quarterback, offensive system, personnel, opponent and game situation.

For example, oddsmakers might also adjust odds slightly if a team loses multiple starters. Case in point is that despite a victory in Week 2, San Francisco's odds moved from 12-1 to 14-1 at SportsBetting.com.

The 49ers lost two starters along the defensive line, have a pair of hobbled running backs and a quarterback with a high-ankle sprain. While none of those players except Garoppolo would impact the odds on his own, the collective loss forced an adjustment to the team's Super Bowl chances.

Here's a comparison of every team's Super Bowl odds going into Week 2 and current:

(Super Bowl LV odds courtesy of SportsBetting.com)

Super Bowl          (9/15/20 Odds)          (9/22/20 Odds)
Chiefs                          5-1                                  5-1
Ravens                        6-1                                  5-1
Saints                          9-1                                12-1
49ers                         12-1                                14-1
Buccaneers               16-1                                16-1
Seahawks                 12-1                                  9-1
Bills                           20-1                                18-1
Cowboys                   20-1                                16-1
Packers                     20-1                                18-1
Patriots                      22-1                                25-1
Steelers                     22-1                                20-1
Titans                        25-1                                28-1
Cardinals                   28-1                                25-1
Rams                         33-1                                25-1
Colts                          40-1                                28-1
Eagles                       40-1                                66-1
Vikings                       40-1                               66-1
Falcons                      50-1                               80-1
Bears                         50-1                               50-1
Raiders                      50-1                               40-1
Chargers                    50-1                               60-1
Browns                       66-1                               50-1
Texans                       75-1                             100-1
Broncos                     80-1                             125-1
Lions                        100-1                             100-1
Washington              100-1                             200-1
Giants                      125-1                             300-1
Panthers                  150-1                             300-1
Bengals                   200-1                             300-1
Jaguars                   200-1                             200-1
Dolphins                  200-1                             250-1
Jets                         250-1                             300-1

Let us know if you have any questions. Thanks for reading, and have a great day.

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